The most intense solar maximum in fifty years is coming. The prediction comes from a team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). "The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one," she says. If correct, the years ahead could produce a burst of solar activity second only to the historic Solar Max of 1958.
Active region 1158 let loose with an X2.2 flare late on February 15, the largest flare since Dec. 2006 credit:NASA/SDO |
That
was a solar maximum. The Space Age was just beginning: Sputnik was
launched in Oct. 1957 and Explorer 1 (the first US satellite) in Jan.
1958. In 1958 you couldn't tell that a solar storm was underway by
looking at the bars on your cell phone; cell phones didn't exist. Even
so, people knew something big was happening when Northern Lights were
sighted three times in Mexico. A similar maximum now would be
noticed by its effect on cell phones, GPS, weather satellites and many
other modern technologies.
But today a similar solar maximum would cause major problems in our technological addicted societies