The most intense solar maximum in fifty years is coming. The prediction comes from a team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). "The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one," she says. If correct, the years ahead could produce a burst of solar activity second only to the historic Solar Max of 1958.
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Active region 1158 let loose with an X2.2 flare late on February 15, the largest flare since Dec. 2006 credit:NASA/SDO |
That
was a solar maximum. The Space Age was just beginning: Sputnik was
launched in Oct. 1957 and Explorer 1 (the first US satellite) in Jan.
1958. In 1958 you couldn't tell that a solar storm was underway by
looking at the bars on your cell phone; cell phones didn't exist. Even
so, people knew something big was happening when Northern Lights were
sighted three times in Mexico. A similar maximum now would be
noticed by its effect on cell phones, GPS, weather satellites and many
other modern technologies.
But today a similar solar maximum would cause major problems in our technological addicted societies